Correlation Between Home Federal and National Bankshares

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Home Federal and National Bankshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Home Federal and National Bankshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Home Federal Bancorp and National Bankshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Home Federal and National Bankshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Home Federal with a short position of National Bankshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Home Federal and National Bankshares.

Diversification Opportunities for Home Federal and National Bankshares

-0.01

Correlation Coefficient

Home Federal  National Bankshares

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Home and National is -0.01. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Home Federal Bancorp and National Bankshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on National Bankshares and Home Federal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Home Federal Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with National Bankshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of National Bankshares has no effect on the direction of Home Federal i.e., Home Federal and National Bankshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Home Federal and National Bankshares

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home Federal Bancorp is expected to generate 59.47 times more return on investment than National Bankshares. However, Home Federal is 59.47 times more volatile than National Bankshares. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. National Bankshares is currently generating about 0.12 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,250  in Home Federal Bancorp on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (14.00) from holding Home Federal Bancorp or give up 1.12% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	90.63%
Values	Daily Returns

Home Federal Bancorp  vs.  National Bankshares

Home Federal Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite inconsistent fundamental drivers, Home Federal disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

National Bankshares

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Bankshares are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly inconsistent basic indicators, National Bankshares demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Home Federal and National Bankshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Home Federal and National Bankshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Home Federal position performs unexpectedly, National Bankshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Bankshares will offset losses from the drop in National Bankshares' long position.

The idea behind Home Federal Bancorp and National Bankshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.