Correlation Between Home Federal and National Bank

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Home Federal and National Bank at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Home Federal and National Bank into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Home Federal Bancorp and National Bank Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Home Federal and National Bank and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Home Federal with a short position of National Bank. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Home Federal and National Bank.

Diversification Opportunities for Home Federal and National Bank

-0.63

Correlation Coefficient

Home Federal  National Bank

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Home and National is -0.63. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Home Federal Bancorp and National Bank Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on National Bank Holdings and Home Federal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Home Federal Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with National Bank. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of National Bank Holdings has no effect on the direction of Home Federal i.e., Home Federal and National Bank go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Home Federal and National Bank

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home Federal Bancorp is expected to generate 1.89 times more return on investment than National Bank. However, Home Federal is 1.89 times more volatile than National Bank Holdings. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. National Bank Holdings is currently generating about -0.15 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,216  in Home Federal Bancorp on December 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  76.00  from holding Home Federal Bancorp or generate 6.25% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	86.67%
Values	Daily Returns

Home Federal Bancorp  vs.  National Bank Holdings

Home Federal Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite fragile fundamental drivers, Home Federal may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

National Bank Holdings

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days National Bank Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.

Pair Trading with Home Federal and National Bank

The main advantage of trading using opposite Home Federal and National Bank positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Home Federal position performs unexpectedly, National Bank can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Bank will offset losses from the drop in National Bank's long position.

The idea behind Home Federal Bancorp and National Bank Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.