Correlation Between Home Federal and National Capital

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Home Federal and National Capital at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Home Federal and National Capital into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Home Federal Bancorp and National Capital Bank, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Home Federal and National Capital and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Home Federal with a short position of National Capital. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Home Federal and National Capital.

Diversification Opportunities for Home Federal and National Capital

0.17

Correlation Coefficient

Home Federal  National Capital

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between Home and National is 0.17. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Home Federal Bancorp and National Capital Bank in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on National Capital Bank and Home Federal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Home Federal Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with National Capital. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of National Capital Bank has no effect on the direction of Home Federal i.e., Home Federal and National Capital go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Home Federal and National Capital

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home Federal is expected to generate 91.0 times less return on investment than National Capital. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Home Federal Bancorp is 31.35 times less risky than National Capital. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. National Capital Bank is currently generating about 0.17 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  6,875  in National Capital Bank on September 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  625.00  from holding National Capital Bank or generate 9.09% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	95.45%
Values	Daily Returns

Home Federal Bancorp  vs.  National Capital Bank

Home Federal Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Home Federal Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.

National Capital Bank

Risk-Adjusted Performance

22 of 100

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Capital Bank are ranked lower than 22 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak fundamental indicators, National Capital sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Home Federal and National Capital

The main advantage of trading using opposite Home Federal and National Capital positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Home Federal position performs unexpectedly, National Capital can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Capital will offset losses from the drop in National Capital's long position.

The idea behind Home Federal Bancorp and National Capital Bank pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.