Correlation Between Home Federal and Community Bank

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Home Federal and Community Bank at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Home Federal and Community Bank into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Home Federal Bancorp and Community Bank System, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Home Federal and Community Bank and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Home Federal with a short position of Community Bank. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Home Federal and Community Bank.

Diversification Opportunities for Home Federal and Community Bank

-0.25

Correlation Coefficient

Home Federal  Community Bank

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Home and Community is -0.25. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Home Federal Bancorp and Community Bank System in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Community Bank System and Home Federal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Home Federal Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Community Bank. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Community Bank System has no effect on the direction of Home Federal i.e., Home Federal and Community Bank go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Home Federal and Community Bank

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home Federal is expected to generate 3.44 times less return on investment than Community Bank. In addition to that, Home Federal is 1.4 times more volatile than Community Bank System. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Community Bank System is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  4,837  in Community Bank System on December 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,492  from holding Community Bank System or generate 30.85% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	86.44%
Values	Daily Returns

Home Federal Bancorp  vs.  Community Bank System

Home Federal Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite fragile fundamental drivers, Home Federal may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Community Bank System

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Community Bank System has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest conflicting performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors.

Pair Trading with Home Federal and Community Bank

The main advantage of trading using opposite Home Federal and Community Bank positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Home Federal position performs unexpectedly, Community Bank can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Community Bank will offset losses from the drop in Community Bank's long position.

The idea behind Home Federal Bancorp and Community Bank System pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.