Correlation Between Home Federal and Popular

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Home Federal and Popular at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Home Federal and Popular into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Home Federal Bancorp and Popular, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Home Federal and Popular and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Home Federal with a short position of Popular. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Home Federal and Popular.

Diversification Opportunities for Home Federal and Popular

0.27

Correlation Coefficient

Home Federal  Popular

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Home and Popular is 0.27. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Home Federal Bancorp and Popular in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Popular and Home Federal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Home Federal Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Popular. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Popular has no effect on the direction of Home Federal i.e., Home Federal and Popular go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Home Federal and Popular

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home Federal Bancorp is expected to generate 1.53 times more return on investment than Popular. However, Home Federal is 1.53 times more volatile than Popular. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Popular is currently generating about 0.0 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,242  in Home Federal Bancorp on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  66.00  from holding Home Federal Bancorp or generate 5.31% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	78.33%
Values	Daily Returns

Home Federal Bancorp  vs.  Popular

Home Federal Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak fundamental drivers, Home Federal may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Popular

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Popular has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Popular is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Pair Trading with Home Federal and Popular

The main advantage of trading using opposite Home Federal and Popular positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Home Federal position performs unexpectedly, Popular can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Popular will offset losses from the drop in Popular's long position.

The idea behind Home Federal Bancorp and Popular pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.