Correlation Between Home Federal and Bank First

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Home Federal and Bank First at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Home Federal and Bank First into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Home Federal Bancorp and Bank First National, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Home Federal and Bank First and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Home Federal with a short position of Bank First. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Home Federal and Bank First.

Diversification Opportunities for Home Federal and Bank First

0.37

Correlation Coefficient

Home Federal  Bank First

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Home and Bank is 0.37. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Home Federal Bancorp and Bank First National in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Bank First National and Home Federal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Home Federal Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Bank First. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Bank First National has no effect on the direction of Home Federal i.e., Home Federal and Bank First go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Home Federal and Bank First

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home Federal Bancorp is expected to generate 1.73 times more return on investment than Bank First. However, Home Federal is 1.73 times more volatile than Bank First National. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Bank First National is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,243  in Home Federal Bancorp on December 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  65.00  from holding Home Federal Bancorp or generate 5.23% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	78.69%
Values	Daily Returns

Home Federal Bancorp  vs.  Bank First National

Home Federal Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite fragile fundamental drivers, Home Federal may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Bank First National

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Bank First National are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, Bank First is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Pair Trading with Home Federal and Bank First

The main advantage of trading using opposite Home Federal and Bank First positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Home Federal position performs unexpectedly, Bank First can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bank First will offset losses from the drop in Bank First's long position.

The idea behind Home Federal Bancorp and Bank First National pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.