Correlation Between Small Cap and Us Government

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Small Cap and Us Government at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Small Cap and Us Government into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Small Cap Equity and Us Government Securities, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Small Cap and Us Government and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Small Cap with a short position of Us Government. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Small Cap and Us Government.

Diversification Opportunities for Small Cap and Us Government

-0.63

Correlation Coefficient

Small Cap  Us Government

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Small and CAUKX is -0.63. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Small Cap Equity and Us Government Securities in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Us Government Securities and Small Cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Small Cap Equity are associated (or correlated) with Us Government. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Us Government Securities has no effect on the direction of Small Cap i.e., Small Cap and Us Government go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Small Cap and Us Government

Assuming the 90 days horizon Small Cap Equity is expected to generate 4.71 times more return on investment than Us Government. However, Small Cap is 4.71 times more volatile than Us Government Securities. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Us Government Securities is currently generating about -0.13 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,779  in Small Cap Equity on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  128.00  from holding Small Cap Equity or generate 7.2% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Small Cap Equity  vs.  Us Government Securities

Small Cap Equity

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Small Cap Equity are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Small Cap may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Us Government Securities

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Us Government Securities has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward-looking signals, Us Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Small Cap and Us Government

The main advantage of trading using opposite Small Cap and Us Government positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Small Cap position performs unexpectedly, Us Government can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Us Government will offset losses from the drop in Us Government's long position.

The idea behind Small Cap Equity and Us Government Securities pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.