Correlation Between SPDR Gold and Vanguard Funds

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both SPDR Gold and Vanguard Funds at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining SPDR Gold and Vanguard Funds into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between SPDR Gold Shares and Vanguard Funds PLC, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on SPDR Gold and Vanguard Funds and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in SPDR Gold with a short position of Vanguard Funds. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of SPDR Gold and Vanguard Funds.

Diversification Opportunities for SPDR Gold and Vanguard Funds

0.64
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between SPDR and Vanguard is 0.64. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding SPDR Gold Shares and Vanguard Funds PLC in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Funds PLC and SPDR Gold is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on SPDR Gold Shares are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Funds. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Funds PLC has no effect on the direction of SPDR Gold i.e., SPDR Gold and Vanguard Funds go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between SPDR Gold and Vanguard Funds

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SPDR Gold Shares is expected to generate 1.66 times more return on investment than Vanguard Funds. However, SPDR Gold is 1.66 times more volatile than Vanguard Funds PLC. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Funds PLC is currently generating about 0.1 per unit of risk. If you would invest  15,797  in SPDR Gold Shares on September 23, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7,367  from holding SPDR Gold Shares or generate 46.64% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy99.01%
ValuesDaily Returns

SPDR Gold Shares  vs.  Vanguard Funds PLC

 Performance 
       Timeline  
SPDR Gold Shares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SPDR Gold Shares are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively fragile basic indicators, SPDR Gold may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Vanguard Funds PLC 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Funds PLC are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Vanguard Funds is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

SPDR Gold and Vanguard Funds Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with SPDR Gold and Vanguard Funds

The main advantage of trading using opposite SPDR Gold and Vanguard Funds positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if SPDR Gold position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Funds can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Funds will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Funds' long position.
The idea behind SPDR Gold Shares and Vanguard Funds PLC pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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