Correlation Between GeoPark and Riley Exploration

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both GeoPark and Riley Exploration at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining GeoPark and Riley Exploration into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between GeoPark and Riley Exploration Permian, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on GeoPark and Riley Exploration and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in GeoPark with a short position of Riley Exploration. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of GeoPark and Riley Exploration.

Diversification Opportunities for GeoPark and Riley Exploration

0.75
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between GeoPark and Riley is 0.75. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding GeoPark and Riley Exploration Permian in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Riley Exploration Permian and GeoPark is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on GeoPark are associated (or correlated) with Riley Exploration. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Riley Exploration Permian has no effect on the direction of GeoPark i.e., GeoPark and Riley Exploration go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between GeoPark and Riley Exploration

Given the investment horizon of 90 days GeoPark is expected to under-perform the Riley Exploration. In addition to that, GeoPark is 1.23 times more volatile than Riley Exploration Permian. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Riley Exploration Permian is currently generating about -0.04 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  3,146  in Riley Exploration Permian on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (260.50) from holding Riley Exploration Permian or give up 8.28% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

GeoPark  vs.  Riley Exploration Permian

 Performance 
       Timeline  
GeoPark 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days GeoPark has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unsteady performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.
Riley Exploration Permian 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Riley Exploration Permian has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest abnormal performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.

GeoPark and Riley Exploration Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with GeoPark and Riley Exploration

The main advantage of trading using opposite GeoPark and Riley Exploration positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if GeoPark position performs unexpectedly, Riley Exploration can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Riley Exploration will offset losses from the drop in Riley Exploration's long position.
The idea behind GeoPark and Riley Exploration Permian pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

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