Correlation Between SPDR Gold and SPDR Index

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both SPDR Gold and SPDR Index at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining SPDR Gold and SPDR Index into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between SPDR Gold Trust and SPDR Index Shares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on SPDR Gold and SPDR Index and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in SPDR Gold with a short position of SPDR Index. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of SPDR Gold and SPDR Index.

Diversification Opportunities for SPDR Gold and SPDR Index

0.54

Correlation Coefficient

SPDR Gold  SPDR Index

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between SPDR and SPDR is 0.54. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding SPDR Gold Trust and SPDR Index Shares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on SPDR Index Shares and SPDR Gold is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on SPDR Gold Trust are associated (or correlated) with SPDR Index. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of SPDR Index Shares has no effect on the direction of SPDR Gold i.e., SPDR Gold and SPDR Index go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between SPDR Gold and SPDR Index

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SPDR Gold Trust is expected to generate 0.82 times more return on investment than SPDR Index. However, SPDR Gold Trust is 1.22 times less risky than SPDR Index. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. SPDR Index Shares is currently generating about 0.15 per unit of risk. If you would invest  497,578  in SPDR Gold Trust on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  81,922  from holding SPDR Gold Trust or generate 16.46% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	95.16%
Values	Daily Returns

SPDR Gold Trust  vs.  SPDR Index Shares

SPDR Gold Trust

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SPDR Gold Trust are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, SPDR Gold showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

SPDR Index Shares

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SPDR Index Shares are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, SPDR Index showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with SPDR Gold and SPDR Index

The main advantage of trading using opposite SPDR Gold and SPDR Index positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if SPDR Gold position performs unexpectedly, SPDR Index can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SPDR Index will offset losses from the drop in SPDR Index's long position.

The idea behind SPDR Gold Trust and SPDR Index Shares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.