Correlation Between Grayscale Bitcoin and Innovator

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Grayscale Bitcoin and Innovator at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Grayscale Bitcoin and Innovator into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and Innovator SP 500, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Grayscale Bitcoin and Innovator and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Grayscale Bitcoin with a short position of Innovator. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Grayscale Bitcoin and Innovator.

Diversification Opportunities for Grayscale Bitcoin and Innovator

0.92

Correlation Coefficient

Grayscale Bitcoin  Innovator

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Grayscale and Innovator is 0.92. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and Innovator SP 500 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Innovator SP 500 and Grayscale Bitcoin is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Grayscale Bitcoin Trust are associated (or correlated) with Innovator. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Innovator SP 500 has no effect on the direction of Grayscale Bitcoin i.e., Grayscale Bitcoin and Innovator go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Grayscale Bitcoin and Innovator

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is expected to generate 6.87 times more return on investment than Innovator. However, Grayscale Bitcoin is 6.87 times more volatile than Innovator SP 500. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Innovator SP 500 is currently generating about 0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,970  in Grayscale Bitcoin Trust on October 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  5,756  from holding Grayscale Bitcoin Trust or generate 292.18% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust  vs.  Innovator SP 500

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust

Risk-Adjusted Performance

15 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Grayscale Bitcoin Trust are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Grayscale Bitcoin exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Innovator SP 500

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Innovator SP 500 are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Innovator is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Pair Trading with Grayscale Bitcoin and Innovator

The main advantage of trading using opposite Grayscale Bitcoin and Innovator positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Grayscale Bitcoin position performs unexpectedly, Innovator can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Innovator will offset losses from the drop in Innovator's long position.

The idea behind Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and Innovator SP 500 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.