Correlation Between First Northwest and Oak Valley

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Northwest and Oak Valley at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Northwest and Oak Valley into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Northwest Bancorp and Oak Valley Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Northwest and Oak Valley and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Northwest with a short position of Oak Valley. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Northwest and Oak Valley.

Diversification Opportunities for First Northwest and Oak Valley

0.16
  Correlation Coefficient

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Oak is 0.16. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Northwest Bancorp and Oak Valley Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Oak Valley Bancorp and First Northwest is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Northwest Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Oak Valley. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Oak Valley Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Northwest i.e., First Northwest and Oak Valley go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Northwest and Oak Valley

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Northwest Bancorp is expected to generate 0.86 times more return on investment than Oak Valley. However, First Northwest Bancorp is 1.17 times less risky than Oak Valley. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Oak Valley Bancorp is currently generating about -0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,013  in First Northwest Bancorp on December 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2.00  from holding First Northwest Bancorp or generate 0.2% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Northwest Bancorp  vs.  Oak Valley Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Northwest Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Northwest Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, First Northwest is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Oak Valley Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Oak Valley Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

First Northwest and Oak Valley Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Northwest and Oak Valley

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Northwest and Oak Valley positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Northwest position performs unexpectedly, Oak Valley can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Oak Valley will offset losses from the drop in Oak Valley's long position.
The idea behind First Northwest Bancorp and Oak Valley Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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