Correlation Between First Northwest and Mercantile Bank

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Northwest and Mercantile Bank at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Northwest and Mercantile Bank into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Northwest Bancorp and Mercantile Bank, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Northwest and Mercantile Bank and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Northwest with a short position of Mercantile Bank. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Northwest and Mercantile Bank.

Diversification Opportunities for First Northwest and Mercantile Bank

0.72
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Mercantile is 0.72. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Northwest Bancorp and Mercantile Bank in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Mercantile Bank and First Northwest is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Northwest Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Mercantile Bank. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Mercantile Bank has no effect on the direction of First Northwest i.e., First Northwest and Mercantile Bank go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Northwest and Mercantile Bank

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Northwest Bancorp is expected to under-perform the Mercantile Bank. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, First Northwest Bancorp is 1.12 times less risky than Mercantile Bank. The stock trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Mercantile Bank is currently generating about 0.0 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  4,432  in Mercantile Bank on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (29.00) from holding Mercantile Bank or give up 0.65% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Northwest Bancorp  vs.  Mercantile Bank

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Northwest Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Northwest Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, First Northwest is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Mercantile Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Mercantile Bank has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Mercantile Bank is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

First Northwest and Mercantile Bank Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Northwest and Mercantile Bank

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Northwest and Mercantile Bank positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Northwest position performs unexpectedly, Mercantile Bank can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mercantile Bank will offset losses from the drop in Mercantile Bank's long position.
The idea behind First Northwest Bancorp and Mercantile Bank pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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