Correlation Between Federal National and PHX Energy

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Federal National and PHX Energy at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Federal National and PHX Energy into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Federal National Mortgage and PHX Energy Services, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Federal National and PHX Energy and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Federal National with a short position of PHX Energy. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Federal National and PHX Energy.

Diversification Opportunities for Federal National and PHX Energy

-0.43
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Federal and PHX is -0.43. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Federal National Mortgage and PHX Energy Services in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on PHX Energy Services and Federal National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Federal National Mortgage are associated (or correlated) with PHX Energy. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of PHX Energy Services has no effect on the direction of Federal National i.e., Federal National and PHX Energy go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Federal National and PHX Energy

Assuming the 90 days horizon Federal National Mortgage is expected to generate 3.06 times more return on investment than PHX Energy. However, Federal National is 3.06 times more volatile than PHX Energy Services. It trades about 0.3 of its potential returns per unit of risk. PHX Energy Services is currently generating about -0.31 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,530,000  in Federal National Mortgage on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  870,000  from holding Federal National Mortgage or generate 34.39% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Federal National Mortgage  vs.  PHX Energy Services

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Federal National Mortgage 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Federal National Mortgage are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting technical and fundamental indicators, Federal National displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
PHX Energy Services 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days PHX Energy Services has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's technical indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.

Federal National and PHX Energy Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Federal National and PHX Energy

The main advantage of trading using opposite Federal National and PHX Energy positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Federal National position performs unexpectedly, PHX Energy can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PHX Energy will offset losses from the drop in PHX Energy's long position.
The idea behind Federal National Mortgage and PHX Energy Services pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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