Correlation Between First Guaranty and First Merchants

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Guaranty and First Merchants at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Guaranty and First Merchants into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Guaranty Bancshares and First Merchants, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Guaranty and First Merchants and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Guaranty with a short position of First Merchants. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Guaranty and First Merchants.

Diversification Opportunities for First Guaranty and First Merchants

0.17

Correlation Coefficient

First Guaranty  First Merchants

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and First is 0.17. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Guaranty Bancshares and First Merchants in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Merchants and First Guaranty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Guaranty Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with First Merchants. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Merchants has no effect on the direction of First Guaranty i.e., First Guaranty and First Merchants go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Guaranty and First Merchants

Assuming the 90 days horizon First Guaranty Bancshares is expected to under-perform the First Merchants. In addition to that, First Guaranty is 1.85 times more volatile than First Merchants. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Merchants is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,528  in First Merchants on October 23, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  37.00  from holding First Merchants or generate 1.46% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

First Guaranty Bancshares  vs.  First Merchants

First Guaranty Bancshares

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Guaranty Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with latest weak performance, the Preferred Stock's forward indicators remain invariable and the latest agitation on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-running gains for the enterprise retail investors.

First Merchants

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Merchants are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable technical and fundamental indicators, First Merchants is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Pair Trading with First Guaranty and First Merchants

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Guaranty and First Merchants positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Guaranty position performs unexpectedly, First Merchants can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Merchants will offset losses from the drop in First Merchants' long position.

The idea behind First Guaranty Bancshares and First Merchants pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.