Correlation Between Foreign Trade and Investment

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Foreign Trade and Investment at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Foreign Trade and Investment into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Foreign Trade Development and Investment and Industrial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Foreign Trade and Investment and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Foreign Trade with a short position of Investment. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Foreign Trade and Investment.

Diversification Opportunities for Foreign Trade and Investment

0.66
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Foreign and Investment is 0.66. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Foreign Trade Development and Investment and Industrial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Investment and Industrial and Foreign Trade is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Foreign Trade Development are associated (or correlated) with Investment. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Investment and Industrial has no effect on the direction of Foreign Trade i.e., Foreign Trade and Investment go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Foreign Trade and Investment

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Foreign Trade is expected to generate 19.2 times less return on investment than Investment. In addition to that, Foreign Trade is 1.48 times more volatile than Investment and Industrial. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Investment and Industrial is currently generating about 0.12 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  6,980,000  in Investment and Industrial on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  780,000  from holding Investment and Industrial or generate 11.17% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy30.51%
ValuesDaily Returns

Foreign Trade Development  vs.  Investment and Industrial

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Foreign Trade Development 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Foreign Trade Development has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy fundamental indicators, Foreign Trade is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Investment and Industrial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Investment and Industrial are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating primary indicators, Investment may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Foreign Trade and Investment Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Foreign Trade and Investment

The main advantage of trading using opposite Foreign Trade and Investment positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Foreign Trade position performs unexpectedly, Investment can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Investment will offset losses from the drop in Investment's long position.
The idea behind Foreign Trade Development and Investment and Industrial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

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