Correlation Between First Commonwealth and HomeTrust Bancshares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Commonwealth and HomeTrust Bancshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Commonwealth and HomeTrust Bancshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Commonwealth Financial and HomeTrust Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Commonwealth and HomeTrust Bancshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Commonwealth with a short position of HomeTrust Bancshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Commonwealth and HomeTrust Bancshares.

Diversification Opportunities for First Commonwealth and HomeTrust Bancshares

0.92
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and HomeTrust is 0.92. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Commonwealth Financial and HomeTrust Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on HomeTrust Bancshares and First Commonwealth is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Commonwealth Financial are associated (or correlated) with HomeTrust Bancshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of HomeTrust Bancshares has no effect on the direction of First Commonwealth i.e., First Commonwealth and HomeTrust Bancshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Commonwealth and HomeTrust Bancshares

Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Commonwealth is expected to generate 1.26 times less return on investment than HomeTrust Bancshares. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, First Commonwealth Financial is 1.01 times less risky than HomeTrust Bancshares. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. HomeTrust Bancshares is currently generating about 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,037  in HomeTrust Bancshares on September 6, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,657  from holding HomeTrust Bancshares or generate 81.35% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Commonwealth Financial  vs.  HomeTrust Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Commonwealth 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Commonwealth Financial are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady fundamental indicators, First Commonwealth reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
HomeTrust Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in HomeTrust Bancshares are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly fragile fundamental drivers, HomeTrust Bancshares may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

First Commonwealth and HomeTrust Bancshares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Commonwealth and HomeTrust Bancshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Commonwealth and HomeTrust Bancshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Commonwealth position performs unexpectedly, HomeTrust Bancshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in HomeTrust Bancshares will offset losses from the drop in HomeTrust Bancshares' long position.
The idea behind First Commonwealth Financial and HomeTrust Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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