Correlation Between The Fairholme and Third Avenue

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both The Fairholme and Third Avenue at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining The Fairholme and Third Avenue into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between The Fairholme Fund and Third Avenue Real, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on The Fairholme and Third Avenue and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in The Fairholme with a short position of Third Avenue. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of The Fairholme and Third Avenue.

Diversification Opportunities for The Fairholme and Third Avenue

-0.56
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between The and Third is -0.56. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding The Fairholme Fund and Third Avenue Real in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Third Avenue Real and The Fairholme is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on The Fairholme Fund are associated (or correlated) with Third Avenue. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Third Avenue Real has no effect on the direction of The Fairholme i.e., The Fairholme and Third Avenue go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between The Fairholme and Third Avenue

Assuming the 90 days horizon The Fairholme Fund is expected to under-perform the Third Avenue. In addition to that, The Fairholme is 1.13 times more volatile than Third Avenue Real. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Third Avenue Real is currently generating about 0.17 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,343  in Third Avenue Real on September 6, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  245.00  from holding Third Avenue Real or generate 10.46% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy98.44%
ValuesDaily Returns

The Fairholme Fund  vs.  Third Avenue Real

 Performance 
       Timeline  
The Fairholme 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days The Fairholme Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of latest weak performance, the Fund's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund investors.
Third Avenue Real 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Third Avenue Real are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Third Avenue may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

The Fairholme and Third Avenue Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with The Fairholme and Third Avenue

The main advantage of trading using opposite The Fairholme and Third Avenue positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if The Fairholme position performs unexpectedly, Third Avenue can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Third Avenue will offset losses from the drop in Third Avenue's long position.
The idea behind The Fairholme Fund and Third Avenue Real pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

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