Correlation Between Farmers Bancorp and National Capital

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Farmers Bancorp and National Capital at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Farmers Bancorp and National Capital into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Farmers Bancorp and National Capital Bank, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Farmers Bancorp and National Capital and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Farmers Bancorp with a short position of National Capital. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Farmers Bancorp and National Capital.

Diversification Opportunities for Farmers Bancorp and National Capital

-0.59

Correlation Coefficient

Farmers Bancorp  National Capital

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Farmers and National is -0.59. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Farmers Bancorp and National Capital Bank in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on National Capital Bank and Farmers Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Farmers Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with National Capital. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of National Capital Bank has no effect on the direction of Farmers Bancorp i.e., Farmers Bancorp and National Capital go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Farmers Bancorp and National Capital

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Farmers Bancorp is expected to generate 0.99 times more return on investment than National Capital. However, Farmers Bancorp is 1.01 times less risky than National Capital. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. National Capital Bank is currently generating about 0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,652  in Farmers Bancorp on December 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  98.00  from holding Farmers Bancorp or generate 2.68% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Farmers Bancorp  vs.  National Capital Bank

Farmers Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Farmers Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unfluctuating fundamental drivers, Farmers Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

National Capital Bank

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days National Capital Bank has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

Pair Trading with Farmers Bancorp and National Capital

The main advantage of trading using opposite Farmers Bancorp and National Capital positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Farmers Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, National Capital can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Capital will offset losses from the drop in National Capital's long position.

The idea behind Farmers Bancorp and National Capital Bank pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.