Correlation Between XL Axiata and Telkom Indonesia

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both XL Axiata and Telkom Indonesia at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining XL Axiata and Telkom Indonesia into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between XL Axiata Tbk and Telkom Indonesia Tbk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on XL Axiata and Telkom Indonesia and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in XL Axiata with a short position of Telkom Indonesia. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of XL Axiata and Telkom Indonesia.

Diversification Opportunities for XL Axiata and Telkom Indonesia

0.2
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between EXCL and Telkom is 0.2. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding XL Axiata Tbk and Telkom Indonesia Tbk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Telkom Indonesia Tbk and XL Axiata is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on XL Axiata Tbk are associated (or correlated) with Telkom Indonesia. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Telkom Indonesia Tbk has no effect on the direction of XL Axiata i.e., XL Axiata and Telkom Indonesia go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between XL Axiata and Telkom Indonesia

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon XL Axiata Tbk is expected to generate 0.3 times more return on investment than Telkom Indonesia. However, XL Axiata Tbk is 3.35 times less risky than Telkom Indonesia. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Telkom Indonesia Tbk is currently generating about -0.06 per unit of risk. If you would invest  225,000  in XL Axiata Tbk on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,000  from holding XL Axiata Tbk or generate 1.33% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

XL Axiata Tbk  vs.  Telkom Indonesia Tbk

 Performance 
       Timeline  
XL Axiata Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in XL Axiata Tbk are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, XL Axiata is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
Telkom Indonesia Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Telkom Indonesia Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest conflicting performance, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.

XL Axiata and Telkom Indonesia Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with XL Axiata and Telkom Indonesia

The main advantage of trading using opposite XL Axiata and Telkom Indonesia positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if XL Axiata position performs unexpectedly, Telkom Indonesia can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Telkom Indonesia will offset losses from the drop in Telkom Indonesia's long position.
The idea behind XL Axiata Tbk and Telkom Indonesia Tbk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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