Correlation Between ESSA Bancorp and Heritage Commerce

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ESSA Bancorp and Heritage Commerce at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ESSA Bancorp and Heritage Commerce into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ESSA Bancorp and Heritage Commerce Corp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ESSA Bancorp and Heritage Commerce and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ESSA Bancorp with a short position of Heritage Commerce. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ESSA Bancorp and Heritage Commerce.

Diversification Opportunities for ESSA Bancorp and Heritage Commerce

0.65
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ESSA and Heritage is 0.65. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ESSA Bancorp and Heritage Commerce Corp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Heritage Commerce Corp and ESSA Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ESSA Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Heritage Commerce. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Heritage Commerce Corp has no effect on the direction of ESSA Bancorp i.e., ESSA Bancorp and Heritage Commerce go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ESSA Bancorp and Heritage Commerce

Given the investment horizon of 90 days ESSA Bancorp is expected to generate 1.5 times less return on investment than Heritage Commerce. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, ESSA Bancorp is 1.34 times less risky than Heritage Commerce. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Heritage Commerce Corp is currently generating about 0.14 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  976.00  in Heritage Commerce Corp on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  90.00  from holding Heritage Commerce Corp or generate 9.22% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ESSA Bancorp  vs.  Heritage Commerce Corp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ESSA Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ESSA Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unsteady basic indicators, ESSA Bancorp sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Heritage Commerce Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Heritage Commerce Corp are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite fragile fundamental drivers, Heritage Commerce may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

ESSA Bancorp and Heritage Commerce Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ESSA Bancorp and Heritage Commerce

The main advantage of trading using opposite ESSA Bancorp and Heritage Commerce positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ESSA Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, Heritage Commerce can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Heritage Commerce will offset losses from the drop in Heritage Commerce's long position.
The idea behind ESSA Bancorp and Heritage Commerce Corp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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