Correlation Between Engro Fertilizers and AGP

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Engro Fertilizers and AGP at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Engro Fertilizers and AGP into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Engro Fertilizers and AGP, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Engro Fertilizers and AGP and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Engro Fertilizers with a short position of AGP. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Engro Fertilizers and AGP.

Diversification Opportunities for Engro Fertilizers and AGP

0.76

Correlation Coefficient

Engro Fertilizers  AGP

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Engro and AGP is 0.76. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Engro Fertilizers and AGP in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on AGP and Engro Fertilizers is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Engro Fertilizers are associated (or correlated) with AGP. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of AGP has no effect on the direction of Engro Fertilizers i.e., Engro Fertilizers and AGP go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Engro Fertilizers and AGP

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Engro Fertilizers is expected to generate 2.93 times less return on investment than AGP. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Engro Fertilizers is 1.57 times less risky than AGP. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. AGP is currently generating about 0.19 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  9,286  in AGP on September 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7,510  from holding AGP or generate 80.87% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Engro Fertilizers  vs.  AGP

Engro Fertilizers

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Engro Fertilizers are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak technical and fundamental indicators, Engro Fertilizers may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

AGP

Risk-Adjusted Performance

17 of 100

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in AGP are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak basic indicators, AGP reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Engro Fertilizers and AGP

The main advantage of trading using opposite Engro Fertilizers and AGP positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Engro Fertilizers position performs unexpectedly, AGP can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AGP will offset losses from the drop in AGP's long position.

The idea behind Engro Fertilizers and AGP pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.