Correlation Between Ecopetrol and Shell PLC

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ecopetrol and Shell PLC at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ecopetrol and Shell PLC into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ecopetrol SA ADR and Shell PLC ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ecopetrol and Shell PLC and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ecopetrol with a short position of Shell PLC. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ecopetrol and Shell PLC.

Diversification Opportunities for Ecopetrol and Shell PLC

0.83

Correlation Coefficient

Ecopetrol  Shell PLC

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ecopetrol and Shell is 0.83. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ecopetrol SA ADR and Shell PLC ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Shell PLC ADR and Ecopetrol is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ecopetrol SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Shell PLC. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Shell PLC ADR has no effect on the direction of Ecopetrol i.e., Ecopetrol and Shell PLC go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ecopetrol and Shell PLC

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Ecopetrol SA ADR is expected to generate 2.27 times more return on investment than Shell PLC. However, Ecopetrol is 2.27 times more volatile than Shell PLC ADR. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Shell PLC ADR is currently generating about 0.28 per unit of risk. If you would invest  768.00  in Ecopetrol SA ADR on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  271.00  from holding Ecopetrol SA ADR or generate 35.29% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Ecopetrol SA ADR  vs.  Shell PLC ADR

Ecopetrol SA ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ecopetrol SA ADR are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak fundamental indicators, Ecopetrol exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Shell PLC ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Shell PLC ADR are ranked lower than 22 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Shell PLC disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Ecopetrol and Shell PLC

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ecopetrol and Shell PLC positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ecopetrol position performs unexpectedly, Shell PLC can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Shell PLC will offset losses from the drop in Shell PLC's long position.

The idea behind Ecopetrol SA ADR and Shell PLC ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.