Correlation Between Ecopetrol and Nicholas Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ecopetrol and Nicholas Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ecopetrol and Nicholas Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ecopetrol SA ADR and Nicholas Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ecopetrol and Nicholas Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ecopetrol with a short position of Nicholas Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ecopetrol and Nicholas Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Ecopetrol and Nicholas Financial

0.71
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ecopetrol and Nicholas is 0.71. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ecopetrol SA ADR and Nicholas Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Nicholas Financial and Ecopetrol is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ecopetrol SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Nicholas Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Nicholas Financial has no effect on the direction of Ecopetrol i.e., Ecopetrol and Nicholas Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ecopetrol and Nicholas Financial

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Ecopetrol SA ADR is expected to under-perform the Nicholas Financial. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Ecopetrol SA ADR is 2.05 times less risky than Nicholas Financial. The stock trades about -0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Nicholas Financial is currently generating about 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  579.00  in Nicholas Financial on September 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  40.00  from holding Nicholas Financial or generate 6.91% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy29.69%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ecopetrol SA ADR  vs.  Nicholas Financial

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ecopetrol SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ecopetrol SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.
Nicholas Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Over the last 90 days Nicholas Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite unfluctuating fundamental indicators, Nicholas Financial disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Ecopetrol and Nicholas Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ecopetrol and Nicholas Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ecopetrol and Nicholas Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ecopetrol position performs unexpectedly, Nicholas Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Nicholas Financial will offset losses from the drop in Nicholas Financial's long position.
The idea behind Ecopetrol SA ADR and Nicholas Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

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