Correlation Between Ecopetrol and MOL PLC

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ecopetrol and MOL PLC at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ecopetrol and MOL PLC into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ecopetrol SA ADR and MOL PLC ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ecopetrol and MOL PLC and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ecopetrol with a short position of MOL PLC. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ecopetrol and MOL PLC.

Diversification Opportunities for Ecopetrol and MOL PLC

0.87

Correlation Coefficient

Ecopetrol  MOL PLC

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ecopetrol and MOL is 0.87. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ecopetrol SA ADR and MOL PLC ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on MOL PLC ADR and Ecopetrol is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ecopetrol SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with MOL PLC. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of MOL PLC ADR has no effect on the direction of Ecopetrol i.e., Ecopetrol and MOL PLC go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ecopetrol and MOL PLC

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Ecopetrol SA ADR is expected to under-perform the MOL PLC. In addition to that, Ecopetrol is 1.31 times more volatile than MOL PLC ADR. It trades about -0.17 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. MOL PLC ADR is currently generating about -0.19 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  365.00  in MOL PLC ADR on September 5, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (39.00) from holding MOL PLC ADR or give up 10.68% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Ecopetrol SA ADR  vs.  MOL PLC ADR

Ecopetrol SA ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Ecopetrol SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.

MOL PLC ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days MOL PLC ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.

Pair Trading with Ecopetrol and MOL PLC

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ecopetrol and MOL PLC positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ecopetrol position performs unexpectedly, MOL PLC can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in MOL PLC will offset losses from the drop in MOL PLC's long position.

The idea behind Ecopetrol SA ADR and MOL PLC ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.