Correlation Between Ecopetrol and Cenovus Energy

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ecopetrol and Cenovus Energy at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ecopetrol and Cenovus Energy into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ecopetrol SA ADR and Cenovus Energy, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ecopetrol and Cenovus Energy and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ecopetrol with a short position of Cenovus Energy. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ecopetrol and Cenovus Energy.

Diversification Opportunities for Ecopetrol and Cenovus Energy

0.74
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ecopetrol and Cenovus is 0.74. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ecopetrol SA ADR and Cenovus Energy in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cenovus Energy and Ecopetrol is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ecopetrol SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Cenovus Energy. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cenovus Energy has no effect on the direction of Ecopetrol i.e., Ecopetrol and Cenovus Energy go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ecopetrol and Cenovus Energy

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Ecopetrol SA ADR is expected to under-perform the Cenovus Energy. In addition to that, Ecopetrol is 1.04 times more volatile than Cenovus Energy. It trades about -0.16 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Cenovus Energy is currently generating about -0.13 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,839  in Cenovus Energy on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (268.00) from holding Cenovus Energy or give up 14.57% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ecopetrol SA ADR  vs.  Cenovus Energy

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ecopetrol SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ecopetrol SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.
Cenovus Energy 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Cenovus Energy has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.

Ecopetrol and Cenovus Energy Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ecopetrol and Cenovus Energy

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ecopetrol and Cenovus Energy positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ecopetrol position performs unexpectedly, Cenovus Energy can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cenovus Energy will offset losses from the drop in Cenovus Energy's long position.
The idea behind Ecopetrol SA ADR and Cenovus Energy pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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