Correlation Between New Oriental and TAL Education

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both New Oriental and TAL Education at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining New Oriental and TAL Education into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between New Oriental Education and TAL Education Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on New Oriental and TAL Education and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in New Oriental with a short position of TAL Education. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of New Oriental and TAL Education.

Diversification Opportunities for New Oriental and TAL Education

-0.71

Correlation Coefficient

New Oriental  TAL Education

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between New and TAL is -0.71. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding New Oriental Education and TAL Education Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on TAL Education Group and New Oriental is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on New Oriental Education are associated (or correlated) with TAL Education. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of TAL Education Group has no effect on the direction of New Oriental i.e., New Oriental and TAL Education go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between New Oriental and TAL Education

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon New Oriental Education is expected to under-perform the TAL Education. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, New Oriental Education is 1.27 times less risky than TAL Education. The stock trades about -0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The TAL Education Group is currently generating about 0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  598.00  in TAL Education Group on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  173.00  from holding TAL Education Group or generate 28.93% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

New Oriental Education  vs.  TAL Education Group

New Oriental Education

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days New Oriental Education has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

TAL Education Group

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in TAL Education Group are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, TAL Education sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with New Oriental and TAL Education

The main advantage of trading using opposite New Oriental and TAL Education positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if New Oriental position performs unexpectedly, TAL Education can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in TAL Education will offset losses from the drop in TAL Education's long position.

The idea behind New Oriental Education and TAL Education Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.