Correlation Between Intermediate Government and Small Cap

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Intermediate Government and Small Cap at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Intermediate Government and Small Cap into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Intermediate Government Bond and Small Cap Core, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Intermediate Government and Small Cap and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Intermediate Government with a short position of Small Cap. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Intermediate Government and Small Cap.

Diversification Opportunities for Intermediate Government and Small Cap

0.25
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Intermediate and Small is 0.25. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Intermediate Government Bond and Small Cap Core in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Small Cap Core and Intermediate Government is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Intermediate Government Bond are associated (or correlated) with Small Cap. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Small Cap Core has no effect on the direction of Intermediate Government i.e., Intermediate Government and Small Cap go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Intermediate Government and Small Cap

Assuming the 90 days horizon Intermediate Government Bond is expected to generate 0.04 times more return on investment than Small Cap. However, Intermediate Government Bond is 27.38 times less risky than Small Cap. It trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Small Cap Core is currently generating about -0.09 per unit of risk. If you would invest  946.00  in Intermediate Government Bond on October 7, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1.00) from holding Intermediate Government Bond or give up 0.11% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Intermediate Government Bond  vs.  Small Cap Core

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Intermediate Government 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Intermediate Government Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Intermediate Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Small Cap Core 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Small Cap Core has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of latest weak performance, the Fund's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund investors.

Intermediate Government and Small Cap Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Intermediate Government and Small Cap

The main advantage of trading using opposite Intermediate Government and Small Cap positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Intermediate Government position performs unexpectedly, Small Cap can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Small Cap will offset losses from the drop in Small Cap's long position.
The idea behind Intermediate Government Bond and Small Cap Core pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

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