Correlation Between Intermediate Government and Capital Income

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Intermediate Government and Capital Income at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Intermediate Government and Capital Income into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Intermediate Government Bond and Capital Income Builder, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Intermediate Government and Capital Income and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Intermediate Government with a short position of Capital Income. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Intermediate Government and Capital Income.

Diversification Opportunities for Intermediate Government and Capital Income

0.21
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Intermediate and Capital is 0.21. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Intermediate Government Bond and Capital Income Builder in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Capital Income Builder and Intermediate Government is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Intermediate Government Bond are associated (or correlated) with Capital Income. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Capital Income Builder has no effect on the direction of Intermediate Government i.e., Intermediate Government and Capital Income go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Intermediate Government and Capital Income

Assuming the 90 days horizon Intermediate Government Bond is expected to generate 0.14 times more return on investment than Capital Income. However, Intermediate Government Bond is 7.1 times less risky than Capital Income. It trades about -0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Capital Income Builder is currently generating about -0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  946.00  in Intermediate Government Bond on September 20, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1.00) from holding Intermediate Government Bond or give up 0.11% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Intermediate Government Bond  vs.  Capital Income Builder

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Intermediate Government 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Intermediate Government Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Intermediate Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Capital Income Builder 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Capital Income Builder has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of latest weak performance, the Fund's fundamental drivers remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund investors.

Intermediate Government and Capital Income Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Intermediate Government and Capital Income

The main advantage of trading using opposite Intermediate Government and Capital Income positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Intermediate Government position performs unexpectedly, Capital Income can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Capital Income will offset losses from the drop in Capital Income's long position.
The idea behind Intermediate Government Bond and Capital Income Builder pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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