Correlation Between Dreyfus Natural and Third Avenue

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Dreyfus Natural and Third Avenue at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Dreyfus Natural and Third Avenue into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Dreyfus Natural Resources and Third Avenue Value, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Dreyfus Natural and Third Avenue and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Dreyfus Natural with a short position of Third Avenue. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Dreyfus Natural and Third Avenue.

Diversification Opportunities for Dreyfus Natural and Third Avenue

0.36
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Dreyfus and Third is 0.36. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Dreyfus Natural Resources and Third Avenue Value in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Third Avenue Value and Dreyfus Natural is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Dreyfus Natural Resources are associated (or correlated) with Third Avenue. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Third Avenue Value has no effect on the direction of Dreyfus Natural i.e., Dreyfus Natural and Third Avenue go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Dreyfus Natural and Third Avenue

Assuming the 90 days horizon Dreyfus Natural Resources is expected to under-perform the Third Avenue. In addition to that, Dreyfus Natural is 1.08 times more volatile than Third Avenue Value. It trades about -0.22 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Third Avenue Value is currently generating about -0.19 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  6,413  in Third Avenue Value on September 16, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (493.00) from holding Third Avenue Value or give up 7.69% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Dreyfus Natural Resources  vs.  Third Avenue Value

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Dreyfus Natural Resources 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Dreyfus Natural Resources has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Dreyfus Natural is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Third Avenue Value 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Third Avenue Value has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of latest weak performance, the Fund's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund investors.

Dreyfus Natural and Third Avenue Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Dreyfus Natural and Third Avenue

The main advantage of trading using opposite Dreyfus Natural and Third Avenue positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Dreyfus Natural position performs unexpectedly, Third Avenue can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Third Avenue will offset losses from the drop in Third Avenue's long position.
The idea behind Dreyfus Natural Resources and Third Avenue Value pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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