Correlation Between Dow Jones and Toll Brothers

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Dow Jones and Toll Brothers at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Dow Jones and Toll Brothers into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Dow Jones Industrial and Toll Brothers, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Dow Jones and Toll Brothers and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Dow Jones with a short position of Toll Brothers. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Dow Jones and Toll Brothers.

Diversification Opportunities for Dow Jones and Toll Brothers

0.69

Correlation Coefficient

Dow Jones  Toll Brothers

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Dow and Toll is 0.69. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Dow Jones Industrial and Toll Brothers in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Toll Brothers and Dow Jones is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Dow Jones Industrial are associated (or correlated) with Toll Brothers. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Toll Brothers has no effect on the direction of Dow Jones i.e., Dow Jones and Toll Brothers go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Dow Jones and Toll Brothers

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dow Jones Industrial is expected to generate 0.33 times more return on investment than Toll Brothers. However, Dow Jones Industrial is 3.07 times less risky than Toll Brothers. It trades about -0.28 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Toll Brothers is currently generating about -0.62 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,473,657  in Dow Jones Industrial on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (182,962) from holding Dow Jones Industrial or give up 4.09% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Dow Jones Industrial  vs.  Toll Brothers

Pair Trading with Dow Jones and Toll Brothers

The main advantage of trading using opposite Dow Jones and Toll Brothers positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Dow Jones position performs unexpectedly, Toll Brothers can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Toll Brothers will offset losses from the drop in Toll Brothers' long position.

The idea behind Dow Jones Industrial and Toll Brothers pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.