Correlation Between HF Sinclair and Ultrapar Participacoes

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both HF Sinclair and Ultrapar Participacoes at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining HF Sinclair and Ultrapar Participacoes into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between HF Sinclair Corp and Ultrapar Participacoes SA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on HF Sinclair and Ultrapar Participacoes and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in HF Sinclair with a short position of Ultrapar Participacoes. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of HF Sinclair and Ultrapar Participacoes.

Diversification Opportunities for HF Sinclair and Ultrapar Participacoes

0.88

Correlation Coefficient

HF Sinclair  Ultrapar Participacoes

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between DINO and Ultrapar is 0.88. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding HF Sinclair Corp and Ultrapar Participacoes SA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ultrapar Participacoes and HF Sinclair is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on HF Sinclair Corp are associated (or correlated) with Ultrapar Participacoes. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ultrapar Participacoes has no effect on the direction of HF Sinclair i.e., HF Sinclair and Ultrapar Participacoes go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between HF Sinclair and Ultrapar Participacoes

Given the investment horizon of 90 days HF Sinclair Corp is expected to under-perform the Ultrapar Participacoes. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, HF Sinclair Corp is 1.29 times less risky than Ultrapar Participacoes. The stock trades about -0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Ultrapar Participacoes SA is currently generating about 0.0 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  295.00  in Ultrapar Participacoes SA on November 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (6.00) from holding Ultrapar Participacoes SA or give up 2.03% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

HF Sinclair Corp  vs.  Ultrapar Participacoes SA

HF Sinclair Corp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days HF Sinclair Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest conflicting performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors.

Ultrapar Participacoes

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Ultrapar Participacoes SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable technical and fundamental indicators, Ultrapar Participacoes is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Pair Trading with HF Sinclair and Ultrapar Participacoes

The main advantage of trading using opposite HF Sinclair and Ultrapar Participacoes positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if HF Sinclair position performs unexpectedly, Ultrapar Participacoes can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ultrapar Participacoes will offset losses from the drop in Ultrapar Participacoes' long position.

The idea behind HF Sinclair Corp and Ultrapar Participacoes SA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.