Correlation Between Assured Guaranty and Delta Air

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Assured Guaranty and Delta Air at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Assured Guaranty and Delta Air into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Assured Guaranty and Delta Air Lines, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Assured Guaranty and Delta Air and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Assured Guaranty with a short position of Delta Air. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Assured Guaranty and Delta Air.

Diversification Opportunities for Assured Guaranty and Delta Air

0.89
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Assured and Delta is 0.89. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Assured Guaranty and Delta Air Lines in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Delta Air Lines and Assured Guaranty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Assured Guaranty are associated (or correlated) with Delta Air. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Delta Air Lines has no effect on the direction of Assured Guaranty i.e., Assured Guaranty and Delta Air go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Assured Guaranty and Delta Air

Assuming the 90 days horizon Assured Guaranty is expected to generate 2.65 times more return on investment than Delta Air. However, Assured Guaranty is 2.65 times more volatile than Delta Air Lines. It trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Delta Air Lines is currently generating about -0.23 per unit of risk. If you would invest  8,500  in Assured Guaranty on October 9, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (150.00) from holding Assured Guaranty or give up 1.76% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Assured Guaranty  vs.  Delta Air Lines

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Assured Guaranty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Assured Guaranty are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain basic indicators, Assured Guaranty reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Delta Air Lines 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Delta Air Lines are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Delta Air reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Assured Guaranty and Delta Air Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Assured Guaranty and Delta Air

The main advantage of trading using opposite Assured Guaranty and Delta Air positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Assured Guaranty position performs unexpectedly, Delta Air can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Delta Air will offset losses from the drop in Delta Air's long position.
The idea behind Assured Guaranty and Delta Air Lines pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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