Correlation Between Decred and NAV

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Decred and NAV at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Decred and NAV into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Decred and NAV, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Decred and NAV and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Decred with a short position of NAV. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Decred and NAV.

Diversification Opportunities for Decred and NAV

-0.64
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Decred and NAV is -0.64. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Decred and NAV in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on NAV and Decred is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Decred are associated (or correlated) with NAV. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of NAV has no effect on the direction of Decred i.e., Decred and NAV go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Decred and NAV

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Decred is expected to under-perform the NAV. But the crypto coin apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Decred is 1.37 times less risky than NAV. The crypto coin trades about -0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The NAV is currently generating about 0.03 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2.73  in NAV on November 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (0.25) from holding NAV or give up 9.16% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Decred  vs.  NAV

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Decred 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Decred has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Crypto's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for Decred shareholders.
NAV 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in NAV are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, NAV exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Decred and NAV Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Decred and NAV

The main advantage of trading using opposite Decred and NAV positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Decred position performs unexpectedly, NAV can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NAV will offset losses from the drop in NAV's long position.
The idea behind Decred and NAV pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

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