Correlation Between Direct Line and PennyMac Mortgage

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Direct Line and PennyMac Mortgage at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Direct Line and PennyMac Mortgage into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Direct Line Insurance and PennyMac Mortgage Investment, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Direct Line and PennyMac Mortgage and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Direct Line with a short position of PennyMac Mortgage. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Direct Line and PennyMac Mortgage.

Diversification Opportunities for Direct Line and PennyMac Mortgage

0.81
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Direct and PennyMac is 0.81. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Direct Line Insurance and PennyMac Mortgage Investment in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on PennyMac Mortgage and Direct Line is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Direct Line Insurance are associated (or correlated) with PennyMac Mortgage. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of PennyMac Mortgage has no effect on the direction of Direct Line i.e., Direct Line and PennyMac Mortgage go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Direct Line and PennyMac Mortgage

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Direct Line is expected to generate 1.41 times less return on investment than PennyMac Mortgage. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Direct Line Insurance is 1.33 times less risky than PennyMac Mortgage. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. PennyMac Mortgage Investment is currently generating about 0.14 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,210  in PennyMac Mortgage Investment on December 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  150.00  from holding PennyMac Mortgage Investment or generate 12.4% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Direct Line Insurance  vs.  PennyMac Mortgage Investment

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Direct Line Insurance 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Direct Line Insurance are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile essential indicators, Direct Line may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.
PennyMac Mortgage 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in PennyMac Mortgage Investment are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain basic indicators, PennyMac Mortgage may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Direct Line and PennyMac Mortgage Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Direct Line and PennyMac Mortgage

The main advantage of trading using opposite Direct Line and PennyMac Mortgage positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Direct Line position performs unexpectedly, PennyMac Mortgage can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PennyMac Mortgage will offset losses from the drop in PennyMac Mortgage's long position.
The idea behind Direct Line Insurance and PennyMac Mortgage Investment pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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