Correlation Between National Retail and LGI Homes

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Retail and LGI Homes at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Retail and LGI Homes into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Retail Properties and LGI Homes, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Retail and LGI Homes and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Retail with a short position of LGI Homes. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Retail and LGI Homes.

Diversification Opportunities for National Retail and LGI Homes

0.61
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and LGI is 0.61. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Retail Properties and LGI Homes in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on LGI Homes and National Retail is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Retail Properties are associated (or correlated) with LGI Homes. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of LGI Homes has no effect on the direction of National Retail i.e., National Retail and LGI Homes go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Retail and LGI Homes

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon National Retail is expected to generate 2.24 times less return on investment than LGI Homes. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, National Retail Properties is 2.2 times less risky than LGI Homes. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. LGI Homes is currently generating about 0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  9,490  in LGI Homes on September 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (790.00) from holding LGI Homes or give up 8.32% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

National Retail Properties  vs.  LGI Homes

 Performance 
       Timeline  
National Retail Prop 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days National Retail Properties has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest fragile performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors.
LGI Homes 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days LGI Homes has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors.

National Retail and LGI Homes Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with National Retail and LGI Homes

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Retail and LGI Homes positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Retail position performs unexpectedly, LGI Homes can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in LGI Homes will offset losses from the drop in LGI Homes' long position.
The idea behind National Retail Properties and LGI Homes pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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