Correlation Between Vale SA and Fortune Minerals

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vale SA and Fortune Minerals at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vale SA and Fortune Minerals into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vale SA and Fortune Minerals Limited, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vale SA and Fortune Minerals and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vale SA with a short position of Fortune Minerals. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vale SA and Fortune Minerals.

Diversification Opportunities for Vale SA and Fortune Minerals

0.61
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vale and Fortune is 0.61. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vale SA and Fortune Minerals Limited in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Fortune Minerals and Vale SA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vale SA are associated (or correlated) with Fortune Minerals. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Fortune Minerals has no effect on the direction of Vale SA i.e., Vale SA and Fortune Minerals go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vale SA and Fortune Minerals

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vale SA is expected to under-perform the Fortune Minerals. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Vale SA is 5.32 times less risky than Fortune Minerals. The stock trades about -0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Fortune Minerals Limited is currently generating about 0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2.35  in Fortune Minerals Limited on October 6, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (0.45) from holding Fortune Minerals Limited or give up 19.15% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy97.5%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vale SA  vs.  Fortune Minerals Limited

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vale SA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vale SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.
Fortune Minerals 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Fortune Minerals Limited has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Fortune Minerals is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

Vale SA and Fortune Minerals Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vale SA and Fortune Minerals

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vale SA and Fortune Minerals positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vale SA position performs unexpectedly, Fortune Minerals can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Fortune Minerals will offset losses from the drop in Fortune Minerals' long position.
The idea behind Vale SA and Fortune Minerals Limited pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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