Correlation Between Cotton and Rough Rice

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cotton and Rough Rice at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cotton and Rough Rice into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cotton and Rough Rice Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cotton and Rough Rice and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cotton with a short position of Rough Rice. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cotton and Rough Rice.

Diversification Opportunities for Cotton and Rough Rice

0.55
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cotton and Rough is 0.55. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cotton and Rough Rice Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Rough Rice Futures and Cotton is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cotton are associated (or correlated) with Rough Rice. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Rough Rice Futures has no effect on the direction of Cotton i.e., Cotton and Rough Rice go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cotton and Rough Rice

Assuming the 90 days horizon Cotton is expected to under-perform the Rough Rice. But the commodity apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Cotton is 1.1 times less risky than Rough Rice. The commodity trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Rough Rice Futures is currently generating about -0.03 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,384  in Rough Rice Futures on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (33.00) from holding Rough Rice Futures or give up 2.38% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Cotton  vs.  Rough Rice Futures

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Cotton 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cotton has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Cotton is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Rough Rice Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Rough Rice Futures has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Rough Rice is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Cotton and Rough Rice Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Cotton and Rough Rice

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cotton and Rough Rice positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cotton position performs unexpectedly, Rough Rice can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Rough Rice will offset losses from the drop in Rough Rice's long position.
The idea behind Cotton and Rough Rice Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

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