Correlation Between Ciputra Development and Modernland Realty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ciputra Development and Modernland Realty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ciputra Development and Modernland Realty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ciputra Development Tbk and Modernland Realty Ltd, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ciputra Development and Modernland Realty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ciputra Development with a short position of Modernland Realty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ciputra Development and Modernland Realty.

Diversification Opportunities for Ciputra Development and Modernland Realty

-0.2
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ciputra and Modernland is -0.2. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ciputra Development Tbk and Modernland Realty Ltd in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Modernland Realty and Ciputra Development is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ciputra Development Tbk are associated (or correlated) with Modernland Realty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Modernland Realty has no effect on the direction of Ciputra Development i.e., Ciputra Development and Modernland Realty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ciputra Development and Modernland Realty

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ciputra Development Tbk is expected to under-perform the Modernland Realty. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Ciputra Development Tbk is 1.11 times less risky than Modernland Realty. The stock trades about -0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Modernland Realty Ltd is currently generating about 0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  5,000  in Modernland Realty Ltd on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  200.00  from holding Modernland Realty Ltd or generate 4.0% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ciputra Development Tbk  vs.  Modernland Realty Ltd

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ciputra Development Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ciputra Development Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Modernland Realty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Modernland Realty Ltd are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite conflicting forward-looking signals, Modernland Realty may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Ciputra Development and Modernland Realty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ciputra Development and Modernland Realty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ciputra Development and Modernland Realty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ciputra Development position performs unexpectedly, Modernland Realty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Modernland Realty will offset losses from the drop in Modernland Realty's long position.
The idea behind Ciputra Development Tbk and Modernland Realty Ltd pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

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