Correlation Between Costco Wholesale and Penn National

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Costco Wholesale and Penn National at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Costco Wholesale and Penn National into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Costco Wholesale Corp and Penn National Gaming, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Costco Wholesale and Penn National and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Costco Wholesale with a short position of Penn National. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Costco Wholesale and Penn National.

Diversification Opportunities for Costco Wholesale and Penn National

0.64
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Costco and Penn is 0.64. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Costco Wholesale Corp and Penn National Gaming in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Penn National Gaming and Costco Wholesale is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Costco Wholesale Corp are associated (or correlated) with Penn National. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Penn National Gaming has no effect on the direction of Costco Wholesale i.e., Costco Wholesale and Penn National go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Costco Wholesale and Penn National

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Costco Wholesale Corp is expected to generate 0.39 times more return on investment than Penn National. However, Costco Wholesale Corp is 2.53 times less risky than Penn National. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Penn National Gaming is currently generating about -0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  92,119  in Costco Wholesale Corp on December 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  6,241  from holding Costco Wholesale Corp or generate 6.77% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Costco Wholesale Corp  vs.  Penn National Gaming

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Costco Wholesale Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Costco Wholesale Corp are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very fragile basic indicators, Costco Wholesale may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.
Penn National Gaming 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Penn National Gaming has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Penn National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

Costco Wholesale and Penn National Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Costco Wholesale and Penn National

The main advantage of trading using opposite Costco Wholesale and Penn National positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Costco Wholesale position performs unexpectedly, Penn National can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Penn National will offset losses from the drop in Penn National's long position.
The idea behind Costco Wholesale Corp and Penn National Gaming pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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