Correlation Between Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cosan SA ADR and Ultrapar Participacoes SA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cosan SA with a short position of Ultrapar Participacoes. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes.

Diversification Opportunities for Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes

0.04

Correlation Coefficient

Cosan SA  Ultrapar Participacoes

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cosan and Ultrapar is 0.04. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cosan SA ADR and Ultrapar Participacoes SA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ultrapar Participacoes and Cosan SA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cosan SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Ultrapar Participacoes. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ultrapar Participacoes has no effect on the direction of Cosan SA i.e., Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cosan SA is expected to generate 4.09 times less return on investment than Ultrapar Participacoes. In addition to that, Cosan SA is 1.3 times more volatile than Ultrapar Participacoes SA. It trades about 0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Ultrapar Participacoes SA is currently generating about 0.12 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  260.00  in Ultrapar Participacoes SA on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  51.00  from holding Ultrapar Participacoes SA or generate 19.62% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Cosan SA ADR  vs.  Ultrapar Participacoes SA

Cosan SA ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cosan SA ADR are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Cosan SA is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Ultrapar Participacoes

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultrapar Participacoes SA are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively uncertain technical and fundamental indicators, Ultrapar Participacoes reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cosan SA and Ultrapar Participacoes positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cosan SA position performs unexpectedly, Ultrapar Participacoes can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ultrapar Participacoes will offset losses from the drop in Ultrapar Participacoes' long position.

The idea behind Cosan SA ADR and Ultrapar Participacoes SA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.