Correlation Between Government Bond and Short-term Government

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Government Bond and Short-term Government at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Government Bond and Short-term Government into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Government Bond Fund and Short Term Government Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Government Bond and Short-term Government and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Government Bond with a short position of Short-term Government. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Government Bond and Short-term Government.

Diversification Opportunities for Government Bond and Short-term Government

0.88

Correlation Coefficient

Government Bond  Short-term Government

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Government and Short-term is 0.88. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Government Bond Fund and Short Term Government Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Short Term Government and Government Bond is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Government Bond Fund are associated (or correlated) with Short-term Government. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Short Term Government has no effect on the direction of Government Bond i.e., Government Bond and Short-term Government go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Government Bond and Short-term Government

Assuming the 90 days horizon Government Bond Fund is expected to under-perform the Short-term Government. In addition to that, Government Bond is 2.5 times more volatile than Short Term Government Fund. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Short Term Government Fund is currently generating about -0.04 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  913.00  in Short Term Government Fund on September 5, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (3.00) from holding Short Term Government Fund or give up 0.33% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	98.44%
Values	Daily Returns

Government Bond Fund  vs.  Short Term Government Fund

Government Bond

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Government Bond Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Government Bond is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Short Term Government

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Short Term Government Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Short-term Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Government Bond and Short-term Government

The main advantage of trading using opposite Government Bond and Short-term Government positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Government Bond position performs unexpectedly, Short-term Government can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Short-term Government will offset losses from the drop in Short-term Government's long position.

The idea behind Government Bond Fund and Short Term Government Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.