Correlation Between ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ConocoPhillips with a short position of Devon Energy. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy.

Diversification Opportunities for ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy

0.64
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ConocoPhillips and Devon is 0.64. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Devon Energy and ConocoPhillips is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ConocoPhillips are associated (or correlated) with Devon Energy. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Devon Energy has no effect on the direction of ConocoPhillips i.e., ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ConocoPhillips is expected to generate 2.27 times less return on investment than Devon Energy. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, ConocoPhillips is 1.2 times less risky than Devon Energy. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Devon Energy is currently generating about 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,174  in Devon Energy on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  502.00  from holding Devon Energy or generate 15.82% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ConocoPhillips  vs.  Devon Energy

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ConocoPhillips 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ConocoPhillips are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively fragile basic indicators, ConocoPhillips may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.
Devon Energy 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Devon Energy are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak basic indicators, Devon Energy displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy

The main advantage of trading using opposite ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ConocoPhillips position performs unexpectedly, Devon Energy can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Devon Energy will offset losses from the drop in Devon Energy's long position.
The idea behind ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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