Correlation Between China Railway and Origin Agritech

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both China Railway and Origin Agritech at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining China Railway and Origin Agritech into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between China Railway Group and Origin Agritech, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on China Railway and Origin Agritech and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in China Railway with a short position of Origin Agritech. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of China Railway and Origin Agritech.

Diversification Opportunities for China Railway and Origin Agritech

0.29

Correlation Coefficient

China Railway  Origin Agritech

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between China and Origin is 0.29. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding China Railway Group and Origin Agritech in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Origin Agritech and China Railway is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on China Railway Group are associated (or correlated) with Origin Agritech. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Origin Agritech has no effect on the direction of China Railway i.e., China Railway and Origin Agritech go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between China Railway and Origin Agritech

Assuming the 90 days horizon China Railway Group is expected to under-perform the Origin Agritech. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, China Railway Group is 2.66 times less risky than Origin Agritech. The stock trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Origin Agritech is currently generating about 0.03 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  204.00  in Origin Agritech on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2.00  from holding Origin Agritech or generate 0.98% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

China Railway Group  vs.  Origin Agritech

China Railway Group

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days China Railway Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, China Railway is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

Origin Agritech

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Origin Agritech are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain basic indicators, Origin Agritech may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Pair Trading with China Railway and Origin Agritech

The main advantage of trading using opposite China Railway and Origin Agritech positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if China Railway position performs unexpectedly, Origin Agritech can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Origin Agritech will offset losses from the drop in Origin Agritech's long position.

The idea behind China Railway Group and Origin Agritech pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.