Correlation Between China Communications and Assured Guaranty

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both China Communications and Assured Guaranty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining China Communications and Assured Guaranty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between China Communications Services and Assured Guaranty, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on China Communications and Assured Guaranty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in China Communications with a short position of Assured Guaranty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of China Communications and Assured Guaranty.

Diversification Opportunities for China Communications and Assured Guaranty

0.39

Correlation Coefficient

China Communications  Assured Guaranty

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between China and Assured is 0.39. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding China Communications Services and Assured Guaranty in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Assured Guaranty and China Communications is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on China Communications Services are associated (or correlated) with Assured Guaranty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Assured Guaranty has no effect on the direction of China Communications i.e., China Communications and Assured Guaranty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between China Communications and Assured Guaranty

Assuming the 90 days horizon China Communications Services is expected to under-perform the Assured Guaranty. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, China Communications Services is 2.14 times less risky than Assured Guaranty. The stock trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Assured Guaranty is currently generating about 0.09 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  7,772  in Assured Guaranty on September 16, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  828.00  from holding Assured Guaranty or generate 10.65% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

China Communications Services  vs.  Assured Guaranty

China Communications

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in China Communications Services are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, China Communications reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Assured Guaranty

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Assured Guaranty are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Assured Guaranty reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with China Communications and Assured Guaranty

The main advantage of trading using opposite China Communications and Assured Guaranty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if China Communications position performs unexpectedly, Assured Guaranty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Assured Guaranty will offset losses from the drop in Assured Guaranty's long position.

The idea behind China Communications Services and Assured Guaranty pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.