Correlation Between Commercial Metals and Ternium SA

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Commercial Metals and Ternium SA at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Commercial Metals and Ternium SA into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Commercial Metals and Ternium SA ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Commercial Metals and Ternium SA and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Commercial Metals with a short position of Ternium SA. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Commercial Metals and Ternium SA.

Diversification Opportunities for Commercial Metals and Ternium SA

-0.49
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Commercial and Ternium is -0.49. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Commercial Metals and Ternium SA ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ternium SA ADR and Commercial Metals is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Commercial Metals are associated (or correlated) with Ternium SA. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ternium SA ADR has no effect on the direction of Commercial Metals i.e., Commercial Metals and Ternium SA go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Commercial Metals and Ternium SA

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Commercial Metals is expected to under-perform the Ternium SA. In addition to that, Commercial Metals is 1.31 times more volatile than Ternium SA ADR. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Ternium SA ADR is currently generating about 0.08 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,878  in Ternium SA ADR on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  232.00  from holding Ternium SA ADR or generate 8.06% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Commercial Metals  vs.  Ternium SA ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Commercial Metals 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Commercial Metals has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound primary indicators, Commercial Metals is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Ternium SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ternium SA ADR are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Ternium SA may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Commercial Metals and Ternium SA Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Commercial Metals and Ternium SA

The main advantage of trading using opposite Commercial Metals and Ternium SA positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Commercial Metals position performs unexpectedly, Ternium SA can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ternium SA will offset losses from the drop in Ternium SA's long position.
The idea behind Commercial Metals and Ternium SA ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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