Correlation Between China Merchants and Home Federal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both China Merchants and Home Federal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining China Merchants and Home Federal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between China Merchants Bank and Home Federal Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on China Merchants and Home Federal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in China Merchants with a short position of Home Federal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of China Merchants and Home Federal.

Diversification Opportunities for China Merchants and Home Federal

-0.07
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between China and Home is -0.07. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding China Merchants Bank and Home Federal Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Home Federal Bancorp and China Merchants is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on China Merchants Bank are associated (or correlated) with Home Federal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Home Federal Bancorp has no effect on the direction of China Merchants i.e., China Merchants and Home Federal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between China Merchants and Home Federal

Assuming the 90 days horizon China Merchants is expected to generate 80.45 times less return on investment than Home Federal. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, China Merchants Bank is 18.54 times less risky than Home Federal. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Home Federal Bancorp is currently generating about 0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,711  in Home Federal Bancorp on September 20, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (451.00) from holding Home Federal Bancorp or give up 26.36% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy90.51%
ValuesDaily Returns

China Merchants Bank  vs.  Home Federal Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
China Merchants Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in China Merchants Bank are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward-looking signals, China Merchants showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Home Federal Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Home Federal Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.

China Merchants and Home Federal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with China Merchants and Home Federal

The main advantage of trading using opposite China Merchants and Home Federal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if China Merchants position performs unexpectedly, Home Federal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Home Federal will offset losses from the drop in Home Federal's long position.
The idea behind China Merchants Bank and Home Federal Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.

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