Correlation Between The National and California Bond

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both The National and California Bond at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining The National and California Bond into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between The National Tax Free and California Bond Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on The National and California Bond and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in The National with a short position of California Bond. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of The National and California Bond.

Diversification Opportunities for The National and California Bond

0.9
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between The and California is 0.9. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding The National Tax Free and California Bond Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on California Bond and The National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on The National Tax Free are associated (or correlated) with California Bond. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of California Bond has no effect on the direction of The National i.e., The National and California Bond go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between The National and California Bond

Assuming the 90 days horizon The National is expected to generate 1.65 times less return on investment than California Bond. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, The National Tax Free is 1.4 times less risky than California Bond. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. California Bond Fund is currently generating about 0.06 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,043  in California Bond Fund on September 5, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  10.00  from holding California Bond Fund or generate 0.96% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

The National Tax Free  vs.  California Bond Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
National Tax 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in The National Tax Free are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong essential indicators, The National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
California Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in California Bond Fund are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong fundamental drivers, California Bond is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

The National and California Bond Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with The National and California Bond

The main advantage of trading using opposite The National and California Bond positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if The National position performs unexpectedly, California Bond can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in California Bond will offset losses from the drop in California Bond's long position.
The idea behind The National Tax Free and California Bond Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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