Correlation Between CF Industries and Morgan Stanley

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both CF Industries and Morgan Stanley at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining CF Industries and Morgan Stanley into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between CF Industries Holdings and Morgan Stanley Direct, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on CF Industries and Morgan Stanley and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in CF Industries with a short position of Morgan Stanley. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of CF Industries and Morgan Stanley.

Diversification Opportunities for CF Industries and Morgan Stanley

0.53
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between CF Industries and Morgan is 0.53. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding CF Industries Holdings and Morgan Stanley Direct in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Morgan Stanley Direct and CF Industries is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on CF Industries Holdings are associated (or correlated) with Morgan Stanley. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Morgan Stanley Direct has no effect on the direction of CF Industries i.e., CF Industries and Morgan Stanley go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between CF Industries and Morgan Stanley

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon CF Industries is expected to generate 2.4 times less return on investment than Morgan Stanley. In addition to that, CF Industries is 1.14 times more volatile than Morgan Stanley Direct. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Morgan Stanley Direct is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,862  in Morgan Stanley Direct on October 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  204.00  from holding Morgan Stanley Direct or generate 10.96% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy48.19%
ValuesDaily Returns

CF Industries Holdings  vs.  Morgan Stanley Direct

 Performance 
       Timeline  
CF Industries Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days CF Industries Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, CF Industries is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.
Morgan Stanley Direct 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Morgan Stanley Direct are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unfluctuating fundamental indicators, Morgan Stanley may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.

CF Industries and Morgan Stanley Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with CF Industries and Morgan Stanley

The main advantage of trading using opposite CF Industries and Morgan Stanley positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if CF Industries position performs unexpectedly, Morgan Stanley can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Morgan Stanley will offset losses from the drop in Morgan Stanley's long position.
The idea behind CF Industries Holdings and Morgan Stanley Direct pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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