Correlation Between CNB Financial and Mid Penn

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both CNB Financial and Mid Penn at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining CNB Financial and Mid Penn into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between CNB Financial and Mid Penn Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on CNB Financial and Mid Penn and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in CNB Financial with a short position of Mid Penn. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of CNB Financial and Mid Penn.

Diversification Opportunities for CNB Financial and Mid Penn

0.8
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between CNB and Mid is 0.8. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding CNB Financial and Mid Penn Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Mid Penn Bancorp and CNB Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on CNB Financial are associated (or correlated) with Mid Penn. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Mid Penn Bancorp has no effect on the direction of CNB Financial i.e., CNB Financial and Mid Penn go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between CNB Financial and Mid Penn

Given the investment horizon of 90 days CNB Financial is expected to under-perform the Mid Penn. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, CNB Financial is 1.0 times less risky than Mid Penn. The stock trades about -0.43 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Mid Penn Bancorp is currently generating about -0.35 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,120  in Mid Penn Bancorp on October 10, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (306.00) from holding Mid Penn Bancorp or give up 9.81% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

CNB Financial  vs.  Mid Penn Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
CNB Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in CNB Financial are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, CNB Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.
Mid Penn Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Mid Penn Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Mid Penn is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

CNB Financial and Mid Penn Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with CNB Financial and Mid Penn

The main advantage of trading using opposite CNB Financial and Mid Penn positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if CNB Financial position performs unexpectedly, Mid Penn can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mid Penn will offset losses from the drop in Mid Penn's long position.
The idea behind CNB Financial and Mid Penn Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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